Patcham, Rottingdean Coastal, Stanford, Westbourne, Wish, Westdene and Woodingdean: The safest of safest seats

There are some wards, Patcham, Rottingdean Coastal, Westbourne, Wish, Westdene and Woodingdean that are safe safe safe Tory seats.  These are seats that, barring a minor (major?) miracle, will return Conservative councillors decade after decade.  Other than Woodingdean, I can’t recall a non-Tory ever representing any of these areas.  Once, in Westdene, James Humphrey resigned the Tory whip and sat as an Independent in protest at the anti-gay Section 28.

Stanford ward is slightlydifferent as it currently has an Independent elected.  A former Conservative councillor, Jayne Bennett was elected in May 2007.  She tends to support the Tories in just about every vote so, for the purpose of this analysis, is being treated as a Tory.

Such is the domination of the Tories in these seats that even if you took the top votes from the Labour, Lib Dem and Green candidates from May 2007, and added in the votes gathered by any independents, the sum of al their votes would not beat the lowest placed Tory.

The importance of these wards for Labour and the Greens is not at local election level but at general elections when the few hundred votes returned in these areas will make, and did make, the difference between winning and losing.

So my advice to Labour and Green supporters in these wards, vote for the candidate and party you like best so that the parties can gauge the level of their support as they prepare for 2015!

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6 Responses

  1. I think (and Wikipedia confirms for what that’s worth) that Wish had a Labour councillor from 1996-1999.

  2. The BPB has evidently not walked the streets/hills of Patcham. The notion that it is Tory heartland is not the case. Why should it be? The entire nature of the city has changed.

  3. Mary Mears and David Smith may not get it all their own way. Save the Lido campaigners are organising a slate of independent candidates on the issue. The other main parties who won’t win there are being asked not to stand candidates to make it a single issue campaign to knock them out and save the Lido.

    • I am no authority on the issue but I’ll eat every hat I own if you get Labour/Greens off that ward, both Labour and Greens have to be desperate to get every vote they can to increase their mandate across the city (especially if we get AV of course)

  4. Err…..Labour had all three Hove Borough seats in Wish from 1995 to 1997, and held 2 of them in the first years of the new unitary council. Heather James later won a seat there for Labour in a by-election. I don’t need to rely on Wiki……I was the Labour election agent for some of that time!

    The Lib Dems held the Westbourne County Council seat for some time in the 80’s/90’s.

    If anyone can think of a single independent thing the “Independent” Jayne Bennett has ever done, do tell!

  5. Why Westbourne, which includes trendyish small-l liberal poet’s corner, is so strongly Tory is beyond me. No one has worked it in recent years, as far as I know.

    Think it was the pre-merger SDP that held the county council seat back in the day.

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