67 days to go, or is it 25? With tactical voting it will be Kemptown Labour, Pavilion Green and Hove …?

Conventional wisdom has it that Gordon Brown will go to the country on May 6th. But Labour friends have hinted that, given the narrowing of the polls (Sunday Times has it down to 2 points although that is probably a rogue poll), Brown might pop in to see the Queen tomorrow in order to have the election on March 25th!

David Cameron’s speech today amounted to little more than raising the bogey of “5 more years of Gordon Brown”, which might prove counter-productive given that Labour now leads the Tories on who people trust to care for the economy. George Osbourne just doesn’t instil confidence.

The “Vote for Change” slogan is rather empty.  Change to what?  Faced with  little of substance (other than not being Brown) when coming to cast their vote, electors will go with the devil it knows (that is other than Brighton Pavilion which increasingly looks like Caroline Lucas of the Greens).

The Greens organisation is really coming together, and the blitz of the constituency this week, well beyond the Muesli Belt, is demonstrating that the Greens, by concentrating on Brighton Pavilion, will almost certainly see the election of the first ever Green MP.

With the closing of the polls, and the concentration of the Greens on Brighton Pavilion, Brighton Kemptown will return Simon Burgess as a Labour MP if other non-Tory supporters vote tactically. As for Hove ….?  My heart goes with Celia Barlow.  What I would welcome is the Greens advocating tactical votes for Labour in Brighton Kemptown and in Hove.  Should they do that, then Labour supporters would be more inclined to vote tactically in Brighton Pavilion.  I just wish that Nancy Platts (I am a big fan) was the Labour candidate in Brighton Kemptown.  With her energy, integrity and enthusiasm, she would win comfortably.

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3 Responses

  1. march election: yeah, but it’s mainly Tory bloggers stirring it up methinks, looking (unsucesfully) to force Brown into having to deny it and so once again look like mr dither… not to suggest that you’re a tory blogger, but perhaps you’re just as keen to rally your troops??

  2. BPB, do you have troops? It’s hard to think that you have a BPB militia ready to march into the blogosphere once an election is called.

  3. David Cameron in the Argus today sounds nervous. He says that he has to win the three Brighton and Hove seats to have a majority. I can’t see him doing that. And he says that he is coming back here. I cannot see that as a vote winner; he does not engage with people at large, I found when I saw him at the Old Market: smooth, slick, yes, and obviously no fool, able to come back to comments, but no Disraeli.

    I sense that tactical voting will grow.

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