The three polls published tonight have all three parties within 4 or 5 points of each other. The Lib Dems ‘surge’ remains intact, Labour have settled a couple of ponts down, and the Tories about 5 points down. Converted into seats, Labour on 28 or 29 points, the Tories on 32 or 33 points, and the Lib Dems somewhere between, Labour would be the largest party in the new parliament.
The media seem obsessed about the hung or ‘balanced’ party. Ed Balls tonight on Newsnight out-thugged Paxman, refusing to get drawn on a hung parliament. Balls was right to say he wanted to talk about values and policies, the difference between Labour, the Lib Dems and the Tories.
I refer back to the article by Johan Hari that I blogged about on April 11th. This is an election about class. To quote Hari: “(Cameron) will give a £1.2bn inheritance tax cut to the richest 2 per cent in Britain – with most going to the 3,000 wealthiest estates (including his wife’s). Then he promises to end the 50p top rate of tax, giving another £2.4bn to the richest 1 per cent. Then he has pledged to cut taxes on the pensions of the richest, handing another £3.2bn to the same 1 per cent. Then his marriage tax relief policies will give 13 times more to the rich than the poor”.
If you haven’t read the article, do so here. Then think what it will be like to wake up on May 7th with David Cameron as Prime Minister. Think strategically and vote tactically.