There was an interesting report published last week by the Electoral Reform Society that suggests that of all the seats in Sussex, ten contests are effectively ‘dead’ and that in just six seats voters might make a difference. The seats that are ‘still up for grabs’ are Eastbourne, Crawley, Brighton Pavilion, Brighton Kemptown, Hastings & Rye, and Hove. Such are the Tory majorities in all other seats (with the exception of Lewes) that there is no hope of unseating the Tories.
In Lewes Stormin’ Norman Baker has made the seat the nearest that there is to a safe Lib Dem seat.
There is the possibility that five of the remaining seats could go Tory, meaning that there would be 14 Tory MPs returned from Sussex, one Lib Dem and one Green. More than ever, there needs to be tactical voting in the other seats as follows: Eastbourne – Lib Dem, Crawley – Labour, Brighton Pavilion Green, Brighton Kemptown – Labour, Hastings & Rye – Labour, and Hove – Labour.
In an earlier post I warned that the growing ‘bad blood’ developing between Labour and the Green supporters could allow the Tory, Charlotte Vere, to slip through between them. While I think that a Tory victory is increasingly less likely, tactical voting for the Greens would both guarantee a non-Tory and make a positive statement about the emergence of minor parties. Traditional Labour supporters (like me) must put our longstanding loyalties to one side. So too should non-Tories in the other contests that are still to be decided. One possibility could be that you find someone to ‘trade’ your vote with. For example, a Lib Dem supporter in Brighton Pavilion could find a Green in Lewes and both agree to vote for the other’s candidate.
The election has a long way to go, but we could prevent a Tory victory by acting now.
Filed under: General Election 2010, tactical voting | Tagged: Brighton Kemptown, Brighton Pavilion, Charlotte Vere, Crawley, Eastbourne, Electoral Reform Society, Hastings & Rye, Hove, Norman Baker, tactical voting | 10 Comments »