Worthing East and Shoreham is an interesting seat. The sitting Tory MP, Tim Loughton, has a good public image and is a hard-working constituency MP. Labour and the Lib Dems were neck and neck last time, with Labour coming out marginally in front in second place.
However, with the national decline in the Labour vote, their inability to make any breakthrough in Worthing itself (surely an area where Labour could thrive), and the effectiveness of the Lib Dems in pavement politics, the recommendation of this blog is for tactical votes for the Liberal Democrats.
The Lib Dems need to get their acttogether, however, and get a decent candidate in place quickly. Labour have had young Emily Benn, probably to be the youngest at the general election, in place for the past year. Her youth will probably count against her. The grand-daughter of Tony Benn and neice of Hilary Benn, she comes from a more Blairite tradition, reflecting the politics of her mother, Nita Clarke (who worked for Tony Blair) more than those of Tony or Hilary. For example, she supported the war in Iraq, and this will surely count against her.
The 2005 result:
Conservative: 19,548 (43.9%)
Labour: 11,365 (25.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 10,844 (24.3%)
UKIP: 2,109 (4.7%)
Other: 677 (1.5%)
Majority: 8,183 (18.4%)